新的油气项目将在明年激增汽车仪表

中国石化新闻网讯 据路透社伦敦12月17日消息，咨询公司Wood Mackenzie在一份报告中表示，明年新的石油和天然气项目数量将较2015年低点增加五倍，但总体支出仍不足以满足未来需求。

据WoodMac分析师Angus Rodger称，预计明年全球油气生产投资将达到约4250亿美元。

相比之下，2014年的总支出为7700亿美元，2016年和2017年降至4000亿美元。

Rodger告诉路透社，尽管自那时起支出水平略有回升，但明年的资本支出仍将低于满足需求增长所需的6000亿美元，无法抵消油田产出的自然下降。

包括美国巨头埃克森美孚和雪佛龙在内的几家世界顶级石油公司表示，随着他们加快开发高产页岩油田，他们明年将增加开支。

Rodger说：“整体而言，企业将寻求维持支出基本持平，以便在多年的痛苦之后向投资者返还现金。”

尽管如此，近年来引入的大幅成本削减，以及钻机和服务费率的降低，意味着企业可以用自己的钱做更多事情。

根据WoodMac的2019年展望，到2019年，新的大型油气项目预捣碎机计将达到50个，而2018年为40个，2015年为10个左右。大型项目拥有超过5000万桶石油或天然气当量。

许多新项目将围绕天然气展开，到2019年，将有创纪录数量的液化天然气(LNG)项目获得批准。

据报道，其中包括俄罗斯的北极LNG-2，莫桑比克的至少一个项目和挂历印刷美国的三个项目，总共需要500亿美元。

“在液化天然气销售合同、企业需求、长期需求和成本方面，众星正在对准。但这些都是巨额投资，如果我们看到成本涨、全球衰退和价格下跌的迹象，投资者的信心可能会动摇。”

LNG项目的目标是开采100万亿立方英尺的天然气，高于2019年的80万亿立方英尺和2017年的32万亿立方英尺。

Rodger称，如果油价持续稳步上涨，且钻井成本料将上升，2020年石油支出可能大幅增加。

陈菲 摘译自 路透社

原文如下：

New oil, gas projects to accelerate next year

The number of new oil and gas projects will rise five-fold next year from a 2015 trough but overall spending is still unlikely to be enough to meet future demand, consultancy Wood Mackenzie said in a report.

Global investment in oil and gas production, known as upstream, is expected to reach around $425 billion next year, according to WoodMac analyst Angus Rodger.

That compares with a total spending of $770 billion in 2014, which dropped to $400 billion in 2016 and 2017.

Although spending levels have slightly recovered since then, next year’s capital expenditure will still fall short of the $600 billion required to meet demand growth and to offset the natural decline of output from fields, Rodger told Reuters.

A handful of the world’s top oil companies, including U.S. giants Exxon Mobil and Chevron, said they would boost spending next year as they accelerate developments of highly-productive shale fields.

But overall, companies will seek to maintain spending largely flat in order to return cash to investors after years of pain, Rodger said.

Still, deep cost cuts introduced in recent years and lower rates for drilling rigs and services mean that companies can do more with their money.

In 2019, the number of large new oil and gas projects is expected to reach up to 50, compared with 40 in 2018, and around 10 in 2015蛋卷机, according to WoodMac’s 2019 outlook. Large projects hold over 50 million barrels of oil or gas equivalent.

Many of the new projects will be around gas, with a record number of liquefied natural gas (LNG) projects set to get the green light in 2019.

Those include the Arctic LNG-2 in Russia, at least one project in Mozambique and three in the United States, which would together require $50 billion, according to the report.

“The stars are aligning on LNG sales contracts, corporate appetite, long-term demand and costs. But these are huge investments, and investor confidence could waver if we see signs of cost inflation, global recession and falling prices.”

The LNG projects will target 100 trillion cubic feet of gas, up from 80 tcf in 2019 and 32 tcf in 2017.

Spending could see a strong increase in 2020 if oil prices continue rising steadily and as rig costs are expected to rise, Rodger said.